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Will Short-Deck Hold’em Takeover

Short-deck hold’em seems to be migrating its way to the US.  This past year’s Poker Masters Tournament that was held at the Aria Resort and Casino, there were 7 events scheduled from September 7-13.  Five of the events were NL Hold’em, one PLO and one Short-Deck Hold’em.  Isaac Haxton won the very first Short-Deck Tournament held in Las Vegas and the US.  In the upcoming 2019 World Series of Poker, their schedule came out with one short-deck bracelet event this year.

Poker Pros Take Notice

Phil Ivey and Tom Dwan are two poker pros that promote Short-Deck Hold’em and may have had some influence in bringing the game to the US.  Triton Super High Roller Series has fast become one of the premier tournaments in places like Macau and Hong Kong.  There have been more pros showing up to play Short-Deck tournaments and cash games, like Andrew Robl, Rui Cao, and Ivan Leow to name a few.

Short-Deck Hold’em Draws

Draw

 Outs

 % To Complete by Turn

 % To Complete by River

Set to quads

1

3.2

6.5

Pocket pair to set

2

6.5

12.7

Gutshot to straight

4

12.9

24.5

Flush draw to flush

5

16.1

30.1

Two overcards for a top pair

6

19.4

35.5

Set to a full house or better

7

22.6

48.4 (*)

Open-ended straight draw or

Gutshot + flush draw to straight or flush

8

25.8

45.6

Open-ended straight draw + flush draw to straight or flush

12

38.7

63.2

(*): On the turn, a set has 10 outs to fill up to a full house Chart courtesy of Poker Listings

Short-Deck Hold’em Variations

There have been some variations to Short-Deck Hold’em.  There is a game with a small blind and big blind, a game with ante only, and a variation that is similar to playing Omaha.  Instead of having five community cards, each player is dealt a third card where only two cards in your hand is used and three out of four community cards are used to make up your hand.

Summary

With signs of interest in Short-Deck Hold’em spreading, the question is how popular will it be?  Having a Short-Deck Hold’em bracelet event in the WSOP is huge.  Could it be more popular than HORSE, Seven Card Stud, Draw Poker, Razz or Omaha?

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